Thursday, January 22, 2009

AN OPEN LETTER TO MY PRESIDENT, BARACK OBAMA!

What President Barack Obama Needs To Tell The Palestinians And Israelis

By Jean-Pierre Ady Fenyo, Philosopher & Middle East Peace Analyst



It is absolutely imperative that we, The United States of America, and all the other moderate states of the world, that our leaders, make it clear to both the Israeli and Palestinian sides that there is absolutely no other option but to reach a final, truly viable and relatively just peace settlement within months and not years! If anything, the complex, disturbing and very sad and tragic events of the Gaza War demonstrate just how urgent and how dangerous this historic conflict is! Given the many obvious and not-so-obvious security concerns, regarding not only the dire realities and urgency, but which involve the overall regional situation throughout the greater Middle East and its direct and indirect impact on the security and stability of the entire world, peace can no longer be postponed indefinitely. Peace must not be held hostage to senseless nuances and antiquated notions on the part of either side nor should the need for peace be perpetually ignored and avoided on account of a systemic failure of the international community to make the urgency clear to everybody, or the failure of the Israeli and Palestinian authorities and leaders to properly inform their constituents about what is really at stake here! Any relatively intelligent and knowledgeable person, especially anyone with a serious background in security issues, understands all too well that the time is already long overdue for a peace of the brave and wise, within months, if not sooner!

1967: A Non-Starter

President Obama needs to make it clear to The Palestinians and to the relatively moderate Arab nations most concerned, that the idea of Israel withdrawing to the pre-1967 borders has already, long ago, been shown to be a total and absolute non-starter for any realistic chance of a peace agreement! The Oslo Agreements and all subsequent agreements that were reached before the Camp David negotiations between Prime Minister Ehud Barack and Chairman Yasser Arafat, under the auspices of President Clinton, in 2000, make it perfectly clear that Israel, for very specific and understandable reasons, both logical and hypothetical, cannot agree to withdrawing to borders that existed prior to 1968. Obviously no Israeli political leader would survive long enough to deliver any such 1967-type agreement, such as the one proposed by Saudi Arabia lately, for that would mean an Israel that would actually have no strategic parity with its neighbors should they ever default on any so-called peace treaty, peace settlement agreement!
In fact, it would cause a more dangerous situation to arise, which would easily turn into the very kind of Global Security Meltdown and Final World War conflagration we currently risk facing. True deterrence, in effect prevention of total disaster, is contingent on The Palestinians accepting a situation that does not involve Israel withdrawing exactly to the pre-1968 borders and lines of demarcation. That said, what Oslo and Madrid and all subsequent understandings have basically suggested and offered is a viable, lasting, and relatively just peace involving almost everything that the Saudi Plan would entail, with some very clear exceptions, that, I must stress once more, are totally non-negotiable by any realistic Israeli leader! Most of the issue revolves around the special status of Jerusalem, which in a certain sense and manner will have to remain almost entirely united and part of Israel, with obvious exception to The Old Muslim Quarter, which would itself gain a special, unique, and rather seemingly complex status under a joint Palestinian-Jordanian authority, and which would still be part of a very complex Intra-National and International agreement and arrangement. And there are other relatively minor territories and issues that collectively are major factors in establishing the kind of viable and logically sensible peace arrangement and agreement, whose details I shall not be able to specify in this relatively brief essay.

Further Postponement of Peace: Too Great a Peril To Israel, The Palestinians and World Peace and Stability Itself

President Barack Obama needs to use his superb communication skills to make it perfectly clear to the Israeli side that, provided the Palestinians also understand that any 1967-type border situation is a total non-starter, further avoidance of the urgent and dire need for a truly viable, relatively just and lasting peace, even if it involves a special set of sub-agreements and subsequent creation of special diplomatic enclaves on both sides for both sides, is tantamount to seriously risking a complex chain of destructive events that would easily lead to a Final Most Horrific Global Security Meltdown and a World War which would not be worth surviving and whose survivors would be very few, if any and who would end up dying shortly thereafter, in the most horrific circumstances! President Obama must make it clear that the further mere perception of Israeli intransigence and significant risk of further extremely violent conflict, regardless of any strategic justification, is rapidly bringing us closer to the brink of total destruction and doom. Israel needs, more than ever, a relatively responsible Palestinian government authority, in charge of a viable Palestinian State, along The Two State Oslo-type solution already agreed to in theory by both sides in previous years, as soon as humanly possible. Not only are we all, the whole world, being held hostage to this failure of the sides to make it clear to their own constituent populations (and to the leaders themselves) that the actual situation risks much more than their direct peace, but the ever-increasing sense of desperation, frustration and subsequent extremist tendencies are beginning to create a situation whereby reaching such an urgently needed peace settlement will become impossible and thus disaster, not just regionally but globally, will become no longer just a possibility but an absolute certainty! Anyone fairly educated and properly informed about this otherwise senseless and tragic conflict, can easily appreciate and understand how much of a disaster it would be if Egypt alone would give up on its tentative peace with Israel and turn into another front for the type of mindset that is prevalent at the top of the current Iranian extreme leadership in Tehran! It should be perfectly clear to those directly involved in making the kind of hard decisions needed that the Gaza War was rapidly turning into a very dangerous spark that would have eventually ignited the entire region, especially posing a threat to the stability of key strategic allies of America and of relative peace, such as Egypt and Jordan, to mention the most important two! Israel has no right to hold the rest of the world hostage to its own internal squabbles and it needs to get its own population majority solidly behind any realistic agreement that would deliver the kind of viable solution towards real peace.

President Barack Obama Can Make It Happen; He’s Probably The Last Chance Hope!

To avoid the kind of tainted situation that has plagued all previous American Presidents involved in trying to bring a lasting peace to The Middle East, between Israel and her neighbors, President Barack Obama must not risk the slightest impression and misperception that we can still wait, if need be, another year or two for the relatively moderate Palestinian Authority and The Israeli government to reach a peaceful settlement agreement! Logic dictates that if there really is any realistic solution to this most urgent and dangerous of conflicts then it can be arrived at within weeks, provided that all parties involved face up to the logical facts as they presently stand! There is absolutely no way President Obama would remain credible enough if he were to get entangled in the kind of on-again, off-again kabuki theatre antics that plagued President Bush! President Barack Obama must use every reasonable tool at his disposal, even if it means risking seeming to be a bit of an alarmist, to get American and world public opinion to fully support the need for the successful and relatively immediate brokering of The Two State Solution envisioned at Oslo and in most tentative agreements arrived at since! Timing is crucial here and any failure to act on time, any failure to exploit the freshness of the moment, will likely risk making the same kind of mass perception and reaction that could easily undo everything! This is not the time to act on the basis of being overly cautious or too impatient! As far I can sense and the way I really see it, based on what I consider to be a very realistic understanding of what is really involved, a meaningful and lasting peace can be arrived at within two to three months, max! NOW is the time to launch a Final Marathon Effort in pursuit of a peace whose benefits would far outweigh any so-called sacrifices that both sides would have to make! NOW is the time to explain, not just to The Palestinians and Arabs and The Israelis, but to the whole world, just what needs to be done, should be done and just what kind of real disaster would easily happen if we do not DO IT ASAP!
The “Yes We Can” mantra of The Obama Presidential Election's Campaign must be turned into the “YES WE MUST” mantra of The Obama Middle East Peace Mission! Another Gaza War, or another Lebanon War over this otherwise senseless and absolutely tragic conflict would kill the chances for peace indefinitely! And INDEFINITELY is TIME we never really had. President Obama, if you’re listening: I know you have what it takes to make this work; TIME TO DO IT NOW!

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

MY PREDICTION WAS RIGHT!!! Mars has life!

THE FOLLOWING IS A REPOST OF A PREVIOUS, EARLIER BLOG-POST, NOTICE THE PART IN BOLD LETTERS!!! MY PREDICTION WAS RIGHT!!!

In some ways 2008 was a year of unprecedented things and overall change towards better times ahead, in other ways it was a year of disappointments and shortcomings!
For me and the world!

The election of Senator Barack Obama to be the next, the 44th, President of The United States of America, was something I was absolute right about! As well as predicting his choice for V.P.: Senator Joe Biden, whom I consider my favorite choice! I was also right about the severe economic crisis, and the fact that we are heading into a Mini-Depression that could, if not dealth with properly, become a Final Economic Collapse, which would obviously lead to a Final Global Geo-Political and Military Mega-Conflict and Total Disaster! I was right about NASA and ESA and other Space Exploration entities finding significant evidence in favor of there being Life elsewhere and in many places throughout The Known Universe! Finding actual frozen Water (H2O)on Mars, finding vast amounts of complex sugars (Carbon-based chemical building blocks of life) throughout parts of our own Galaxy, finding Exo-Planets in great abundancy, and a dramatic increas, once more, in reported UFO spottings, all of which indicates that those who think Life is the exception are simply put: DEAD WRONG! The Known Universe seems to be teaming with Life!

Here is what I foresee for 2009 (the remainder of 5769):

1. Obama's first months of Presidency will be full of sensational near-disasters for him politically, full of controversy, but he will weather it all out magnificently and his public popularity poll rating will remain high!

2. Due to super-vigorous, proper and wise actions taken by The Obama Administration and The E.U. the Global Economic Crisis will begin to come to an end by June, 2009! That said, this good news will not mean much to all those individuals, couples and families who will end up losing almost everything. It will take another 2 years to undo much of the immediate damage caused by Housing Mortgage and Banking Crisis! There will be a significant increase in the Jobless and Homelessness rates and numbers in much of the post-Industrial World!

3. George Soros will convene a major International Summit and Symposia comprised of world leaders in business, government and finance, as well as including the participation of NGOs and private individuals concerned about a wide array of related issues, from Socio-Economic and Investment Ethics to Alternative Energies and Pro-Ecological Businesses. The Summit will include a brief appearance by President Obama. It will take place in Switzerland, as an extension of The Annual Davos Summit. Some major reports will be published and some serious initiatives will be agreed to!

4. Israel and much of The Arab World and the broader Islamic World, excluding Iran and a few other nations, will begin to end their most volatile conflict, as a comprehensive Peace Settlement is reached between Israel and The Palestinian Authority, and between Israel and Syria and Israel and Lebanon! This will take place in late June or by mid-July.

5. The first solid scientific and publically announced evidence for Life Beyond Earth or even a Non-Terrestrial Intelligence will be announced by the end of 2009! And either in late 2009 or early 2010 President Obama will announce some incredibly wonderful new joint NASA-ESA Space Exploration and Space Technologies initiatives and programs! Including the first manned landing on The Moon since the 70s, by six US and EU astronauts, who will set up the first phase construction of a permanent manned Moonbase, the first phase of the construction of a mechanism to protect Earth from threats from Outer space, and a joint Mission to Mars by 2012!

(Jean-Pierre is PROVEN RIGHT AGAIN! I predicted that 2009 will be the year we confirm the existence of Life Beyond Earth! >> SEE www.nasa.gov and latest news on Mars!!!)
) !!!

6. New, powerful and also affordable therapies and treatments and campaigns against AIDS and other STDs and other Major Public Health Concerns will be announced in 2009!

7. A totally new, responsibly progressive liberal Adult Sexual Movement will become popular throughout Europe and The Americas and elsewhere, but will be banned in China, Russia, and India. It will incorporate many of the best aspects of The Hippie Era, The Beatnik Era and post-Marxist-Communalism!

8. President Obama will announce the establishment of a New United Nations Super-Hi-Tech, Ultra-Compact (relative small units), Surgically-Pin-Point-Accurate Strike-Force against Terrorist Groups, Pirates and Human Traffickers/Slavemasters! Fidel Castro, Ahmadinejad and most of al-Qaeda and The Taliban will be gone! Pakistan will split into two distinct parts; one pro-West and pro-Peace, the other (bordering Afghanistan) the opposite! Afghanistan will also split, with the Pakistani-bordering side becoming part of a new psedo-nation that will not be recognized by any of the other nations of world!

Saturday, January 3, 2009

NOW HEAR THIS! More Than 79% Chance That The Yellowstone Cauldron Will Erupt As A Supervolcano Within The Next 30 To 60 Days!

January 3, 2009, London, England - The Original New York City Free Advice Man, Jean-Pierre Ady Fenyo, has had a futureseeing experience, an intuitive sense of a near-future event, in which he senses that The Yellowstone Cauldron has more than a 79% chance of becoming the next Supervolcano within the next 30 to 60 days! The consequences of this event would be cataclysmic for hundreds of millions of people, and yet could also bring about a new paradigm of opportunities for world peace and prosperity!

If nothing of this happens it will not mean that it will not happen sometime later on in the realtively not-to-distant future.

President-Elect Barack H. Obama has been briefed about this and has already put together a mega-crisis management team to deal with its aftermath (this is pure conjecture on the part of The Free Advice Man).

According to The Free Advice Man the melting of glaciers and rising levels of freshwater, subsequent reduction of saltiness in the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans, is causing Tidal factors that change the sources of pressure on Earth's floating Crust and tektonic plates' movement, which dis-settles vulnerable places like Yellowstone!

North Americans from Alaska to Northern Mexico, from the West Coast to the American Heartland of The Mid-West should seriously consider moving to the East Coast. Those who can afford to move to Europe should consider doing so. The world is about to change in ways no one can fully fathom!

Special Disclaimer! There is only an 80% chance of this all happening so do not panic the instant you read this and do your own research (key words: Yellowstone, Seismic Activity, Supervolcano, Cauldron).

Friday, January 2, 2009

Roseanne Barr Is Totally Nuts! Calling Israel a Nazi State is Insane!

Israel may not be a perfect nation, and in many ways it has not been allowed to exist in normal circumstances, by any means, but for Roseanne Barr to call it a Nazi State shows just how little she knows about or understands the dire circumstances that face Israel every single moment! She compared Hamas to two rival and historic L.A. gangs, which is not only offensive to those particular gangs, but is totally absurd! The two gangs in question never teach children to strap on explosives and commit murderous suicidal terrorist attacks, they do not launch missiles into Beverly Hills or into Hollywood, and they certainly do not call for the destruction of Hollywood/Beverly Hills and the annihilation of famous movie stars and celebrities! Hamas hides behind relatively innocent men, women and children, which includes most Gaza Palestinian Arabs, and then launches indiscriminate missile attacks into Israel, even though Israel no longer occupies Gaza! Hamas teaches poor and relatively uneducated people, even young children and young adults, to do the most inhuman thing: to commit suicide attacks! And Hamas, which is serving the interests of fanatic pseudo-Islamic extremists and not the interests of relatively peaceful Palestinian Sunnite-majority Muslims, has attempted to create a situation that, had Israel not acted on time, would certainly have caused even greater numbers of innocent casualties! When Roseanne Barr, who uses her Jewish ancestry to try to give legitimacy to her ill-advised and misinformed opinions, calls Israel a Nazi State, she not only seriously harms efforts at creating a long-term, viable peace in the region, but she endangers the security and safety of millions of people all over the world, Jewish and otherwise, who understand that there is no room for legitimizing terrorism. My reason for writing this is because Wikipedia's entry on this issue is too brief and relatively sterile, compared to the seriousness of the controversy at hand. Celebrities, especially Jewish celebrities, have all the right to criticize excessive actions taken by Israel, but to use their status to help re-enforce public misconceptions should not be met with silence on the part of responsible intellectuals, whether they be Palestinians, Israelis, Jews or Muslims. Wikipedia has a responsibility to report facts and that includes reactions from alternate and opposing sources.